DAS delivered a foresight study on the critical threats associated with modern slavery and human trafficking over the next 10 years to 2036. We brought together diverse perspectives from over fifty organisations across the modern slavery and human trafficking system, including organisations representing those with lived experience, to ensure perspectives from every angle were heard. The analysis identified emerging factors and forms of exploitation and assessed how they may evolve over the next decade, their implications and potential mitigations.

We conducted a detailed threat identification exercise, identifying twenty-one factors that would contribute to the future prevalence and form of modern slavery and human trafficking. These threats were used as the basis for a scenario generation exercise. Five scenarios, each a plausible but extreme future state, were developed to be used as a basis to explore and stress-test future policy and develop more resilient strategies. This foresight was then used to determine more than a hundred potential ways to disrupt and reduce modern slavery and human trafficking over the next ten years.

The work was completed using our Intelligent Futures toolset, a bespoke service that combines multiple highly innovative techniques to deliver on-going strategic intelligence and foresight. Notably our AI-enabled horizon scanning tool, PreVueAI, supported the development of a robust evidence base by providing additional depth and breadth of research on emerging threats and scenarios. It also provided a baseline for maintaining horizon scanning insights of existing, new and emerging threats and how they are changing over time.

IASC used the outputs of our analysis to develop a five-point action plan for the Government. The plan sets out coordinated actions to reduce vulnerability, strengthen safeguarding, disrupt adaptive exploitation, shift accountability onto enabling systems, and build long-term resilience.

Full report here: report-anticipating-exploitation_a-futures-analysis_final.pdf

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The project delivered a strategic digital twin of a naval shipyard, simulating work on 28 hulls from Engineering through four Production work-stages, from 2011-2049. Simulator inputs characterized events and conditions that affected yard work: pandemic, a strike, the generational wave of workforce retirements at US shipbuilders, along with government procurement problems and regular Navy design changes.

The Yard-Wide Simulator independently reproduced monthly work progress and labour-hours expended for each individual hull in each work-stage, with a median error rate of under 4%.

Risk-based analyses also demonstrated significant performance gains from various strategic shipyard investments.

This platform can quickly deliver a yard-wide digital-twin for any naval shipbuilder

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